Utah State vs Louisiana Tech 11/17/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Utah State winning 47% of simulations, and Louisiana Tech 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Utah State commits fewer turnovers in 24% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Louisiana Tech wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kerwynn Williams is averaging 106 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. Colby Cameron is averaging 291 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (44% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LATECH +3
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